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This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 5.5 points.The model projects Patrick Mahomes to earn 4.1 carries in this contest, on balance: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.Patrick Mahomes isn't afraid to take off running, taking on 15.6% of his team's run game usage this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile among QBs.When talking about opening holes for runners (and the ramifications it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in football last year.Patrick Mahomes's 28.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season represents a significant growth in his running prowess over last season's 21.0 figure.Patrick Mahomes's 8.06 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year reflects a material improvement in his running ability over last year's 7.01 figure.Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (137 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Green Bay's collection of DEs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
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