Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers
 
 
 
Chuba Hubbard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers offensive scheme to tilt 7.2% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 62.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • Chuba Hubbard has been used more as a potential target this season (42.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (24.7%).
  • Chuba Hubbard's 2.6 adjusted receptions per game this season signifies a meaningful improvement in his receiving prowess over last season's 1.2 figure.
  • With a fantastic 88.0% Adjusted Completion% (80th percentile) this year, Chuba Hubbard ranks as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league among RBs.
  • This year, the shaky Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 84.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 7th-biggest rate in the NFL.
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Tampa Bay's group of LBs has been very bad this year, profiling as the 7th-worst in the league.

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    FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Panthers to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Panthers grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.

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